BAC moved up +1.25% today - nothing major... but here's my blah on it.
It doesn't take GWB to see that we closed the day at very critical levels today:
NASDAQ... 2497.29 (obviously very close to 2500)
DJIA... 11169.46 (obviously above 11,100 and holding)
S&P 500... 1185.64 (obviously close to 1200 - the infamous Lehman Level)
So are we going to rip off the bandaid? Or did I buy another top?
Interestingly, I noticed there had been some positive correlation between S&P 500 and BAC on the one year timeframe. However, lately, there has been a disconnect - particularly since September 2010, when the S&P rallied +12.99% with no followthrough on BAC - not even when the CFO bought above $13. So we've got some jet lag going on with BAC which must be corrected. If you study the S&P chart, 1150 was a critical area of resistance, which we just broke through recently. 1150 has to hold in order for more upwards momentum to occur. This is setting up to be another gold-diggin' Andrews Pitchfork it seems. Check this out...
S&P 500 One Year (notice the honeygreen trendline, which would be the median line on the Andrews Pitchfork)
BAC One Year (notice the previous positive correlation and now the negative correlation with S&P 500)
Isn't that beautiful? My portfolio wasn't that beautiful today though. Even though I added BAC, it was still:
-0.76% on the SBA
-0.46% on the Roth IRA
Poor CENX reported third quarter losses of $16.8 million, missing by about $0.23 according to my E*Trade platform. So it turned out to be quote unquote luck that I sold it, although not at the intermediate top. But I want to buy back again and ride this one to $20. I must wait for the right moment... when it's practically screaming "touch my market bottom." It's getting pretty uncomfortable in Extended Hours Trading with CENX... -4.62% already!
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