BAC moved up +1.25% today - nothing major... but here's my blah on it.
It doesn't take GWB to see that we closed the day at very critical levels today:
NASDAQ... 2497.29 (obviously very close to 2500)
DJIA... 11169.46 (obviously above 11,100 and holding)
S&P 500... 1185.64 (obviously close to 1200 - the infamous Lehman Level)
So are we going to rip off the bandaid? Or did I buy another top?
Interestingly, I noticed there had been some positive correlation between S&P 500 and BAC on the one year timeframe. However, lately, there has been a disconnect - particularly since September 2010, when the S&P rallied +12.99% with no followthrough on BAC - not even when the CFO bought above $13. So we've got some jet lag going on with BAC which must be corrected. If you study the S&P chart, 1150 was a critical area of resistance, which we just broke through recently. 1150 has to hold in order for more upwards momentum to occur. This is setting up to be another gold-diggin' Andrews Pitchfork it seems. Check this out...
S&P 500 One Year (notice the honeygreen trendline, which would be the median line on the Andrews Pitchfork)
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BAC One Year (notice the previous positive correlation and now the negative correlation with S&P 500)
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Isn't that beautiful? My portfolio wasn't that beautiful today though. Even though I added BAC, it was still:
-0.76% on the SBA
-0.46% on the Roth IRA
Poor CENX reported third quarter losses of $16.8 million, missing by about $0.23 according to my E*Trade platform. So it turned out to be quote unquote luck that I sold it, although not at the intermediate top. But I want to buy back again and ride this one to $20. I must wait for the right moment... when it's practically screaming "touch my market bottom." It's getting pretty uncomfortable in Extended Hours Trading with CENX... -4.62% already!
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