Thursday, January 17, 2013
Is It Sustainable?
That must be the question on everyone's mind.
One major metric I saw on CNBC today is that there are still over 10 million mortgages that are 'under water' - roughly 26% of the market.
The question is whether these people will continue to dig in their heels - or will some of them become foreclosures in the near future?
It seems my market top has come early and one thing I regret is not selling calls on more stocks when I had the chance. This, of course, is in retrospect.
My Roth IRA has increased circa +24% over the past three months and over +42% over the past six months after having dipped to record lows and effectively deemed a graveyard portfolio a year before.
If the market somehow continues to trend higher, I will continue to sell calls and puts. But if it goes down, am I protected?
As it stands today, my daily Roth IRA loss of -0.77% is negatively correlated with the broader stock market indices.
DJIA +0.63%
Nasdaq +0.59%
S&P +0.56%
Dow Jones Transportation Average +0.66%
Is this the basis for a cautionary tale or a buying opportunity?
Only Bernanke can tell...
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